[新聞] Why Ben Affleck's DGA Win Matters Even Though He's Not Oscar-Nominated

看板Ang_Lee作者wentasu (哇哈哈)時間12年前 (2013/02/05 09:00)推噓3(3推 0噓 1→)

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Why Ben Affleck's DGA Win Matters Even Though He's Not Oscar-Nominated (Analysis) 為何班艾佛列克的導演工會獎獲勝對奧斯卡戰況有關緊要，即使他未被提名 (分析) 1:16 AM PST 2/3/2013 by Scott Feinberg (原文網址 http://ppt.cc/ZYRL) THR's awards analyst tries to make sense of a night during which directors, animators and art directors all revealed their picks for the best work of 2012. 好萊塢報導分析家試著解讀週六夜晚導演、動畫工作者與藝術指導者揭露他們選出的 2012最佳作品的意義。 At the beginning, it looked like we were in for an awards season without an Oscar front-runner. At the end, it looks like we couldn't have a much stronger one. 剛開始，看起來我們處於一個沒有領跑者的獎季。但最後，看起來像是我們沒有一個更強的領跑者。 On Saturday, Ben Affleck's Argo won the 65th Directors Guild of America Award for best directed feature film. In so doing, it completed a sweep of the top prizes of all of the season's major precursor awards -- it had already won the Critics' Choice Award for best picture (and best director), the Golden Globe Award for motion best picture drama (and best director), the Producers Guild of America Award for best produced picture and the Screen Actors Guild Award for best ensemble -- and it now heads into the final round of Oscar voting, which begins Feb. 8, with undeniable momentum. No film ever has been awarded the top prizes of all of the aforementioned precursor groups -- and only one film, Apollo 13 (1995), has won the top prizes of the PGA, SAG and DGA -- and not won the best picture Oscar. 星期六，小班的亞果出任務贏得了第65屆美國導演工會獎的最佳劇情片導演。做到這件事亞果完成了頒獎季頂級前哨戰的橫掃--包括影評人選擇獎的最佳影片(和最佳導演)，金球獎的最佳劇情片(和最佳導演)，製片人工會獎的最佳影片製作，演員工會的最佳整體演出 --而亞果現在伴隨著無法抵擋的動量邁向最後一輪，二月8日開始的奧斯卡投票。沒有任何片曾經被頒發所有前述的頂級風向球獎項--過去只有一部片，阿波羅13(1995)曾經贏得 PGA，SAG和DGA頂級獎項--卻未贏得奧斯卡最佳影片。 The DGA Award win for Affleck also must be read as a tacit rebuke of the Academy's directors branch, which didn't even include him among its five best director Oscar nominees, sparking widespread outrage. (Its 371 members account for only 6 percent of the Academy's entire membership.) The DGA Award is famous for presaging the winner of the best director Oscar on all but six occasions since it first was presented in 1948. Affleck will increase that number to seven -- and the fact that the DGA voted for him, even with the knowledge that he had been snubbed by the Academy, means that recognizing him was more important to DGA members than preserving their stellar prognostication track record. That's quite a statement. (Further good news for Argo: The film directed by the DGA winner has gone on to be named best picture by the Academy on all but 13 occasions in the past 64 years.) 小班的導演工會獎獲勝也必定被解讀為對影藝學院導演組未將他包含在奧斯卡最佳導演的五位提名者中引發普遍憤怒的沉默訓斥(訐譙)。(導演組有371位成員僅佔影藝學院整體會員6%。)導演工會獎有名在於預示奧斯卡最佳導演的贏家，從1948年開辦後只錯6次。小班將增加例外之數到7次--且即使早知道他已經被影藝學院冷落，導演工會仍然投給他的事實意味著對導演工會成員而言認同他比保留恆星預測跟蹤紀錄來得重要。這是一個相當強的聲明。(對亞果更進一步的好消息:導演工會獎得主的影片成為影藝學院的最佳影片在過去64年來只有13次失敗)。 [補充說明: 請看上一篇小弟的分析，含全部的例外名單。然而導演工會獲獎的導演與影片分家7部發生在1967年畢業生之前，前7次是DGA獲獎者全拿到奧斯卡最佳導演。之後有68冬之獅(影片導演雙敗)，85紫色姐妹花 (影片敗且導演沒提名)，89七月四日誕生 (影片敗導演勝)，95阿波羅13 (影片敗且導演沒提名)，98搶救雷恩大兵(影片敗導演勝)， 00李安(影片導演雙敗，原因應是外語片且Soderbergh支持者集中選票)，拿到最佳導演卻沒影片有兩例，拿到最佳影片卻沒導演有72教父和02芝加哥。] The DGA Award outcome not only puts more wind behind Argo's best picture sails, it also fails to clarify the best director Oscar race of which Affleck is not a part. Of the other four DGA nominees -- all of whom had won the DGA Award at least once before, unlike Affleck -- only two are nominated for the best director Oscar: Ang Lee (Life of Pi) and Steven Spielberg (Lincoln) snagged Oscar noms, but Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty) and Tom Hooper (Les Miserables) were bumped in favor of Michael Haneke (Amour), David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook) and Benh Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild). Had Lee or Spielberg won Saturday, it would have suggested that their film might have the support necessary to challenge Argo for the best picture Oscar. But the fact that neither did leaves that race completely muddled. 導演工會獎的結果不只把更多風向擺在亞果的最佳影片航向上，也拒絕澄清小班缺席的奧斯卡最佳導演競逐。在其他四位導演工會提名人--除了小班其他全部過去都至少贏過一次導演工會獎--只有兩位被提名奧斯卡最佳導演:李安(少年Pi的奇幻漂流)與老史(林肯傳)被釘在奧斯卡提名名單上，但是小班，畢娘娘(凌晨密令)和胡伯(悲慘世界)被偏愛麥可‧漢內克(愛‧慕)，大衛‧歐羅素(派特的幸福劇本)和班‧謝特林(南方野獸樂園) 的選票撞掉。倘若李安或老史在星期六贏得導演工會獎，這將促成他們的影片在奧斯卡最佳影片競逐上可能獲得必要的支持以挑戰亞果。但事實上兩人都沒做到，令這個競逐仍留下全然的困惑。 Of course, the Oscar race cannot be declared over until the last envelope is opened Feb. 24, so, to one degree or another, the backers of Argo's eight fellow best picture Oscar nominees -- Amour, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Django Unchained, Les Miserables, Life of Pi, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook and Zero Dark Thirty -- will fight on. And there are a few stats that should offer encouragement to the most serious contenders among them: Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook and Life of Pi, all of which secured picture, director, screenplay and editing nominations, among others: 當然，奧斯卡的競逐不會宣布終止直到最後的信封在二月24日被打開，亞果的同儕-- 愛‧慕、南方野獸樂園、絕殺令、悲慘世界、少年Pi的奇幻漂流、林肯傳、派特的幸福劇本、凌晨密令--的擁護者或多或少將會持續戰鬥。並且有些統計數據應該可以提供給其中最認真的競逐者鼓勵：林肯傳、派特的幸福劇本和少年Pi的奇幻漂流，比起其他影片或有漏缺，這三部都鞏固了影片、導演、劇本和影片剪接的提名。 (按：各獎項提名的相關性請見小弟前篇分析) Only one film in the past 80 years -- Driving Miss Daisy (1989) -- ever has won the best picture Oscar without also receiving a best director Oscar nomination. 過去80年只有一部片--溫馨接送情(1989)--曾經在導演獎沒被提名下贏得最佳影片。 (按:更早則要追溯到第1屆和第5屆) On both of the two prior occasions on which the DGA Award winner was someone who had not received a best director Oscar nomination -- Spielberg for The Color Purple (1985) and Ron Howard for Apollo 13 (1995) -- that director's film did not go on to win the best picture Oscar. 在導演工會獎得主卻未獲得奧斯卡最佳導演提名的兩個前例--史蒂芬史匹柏的紫色姊妹花(1985)和朗霍華的阿波羅13(1995)--兩部影片都沒有贏得奧斯卡最佳影片獎。 Like most past best picture Oscar winners, Lincoln scored more Oscar nominations (12) and has a bigger domestic gross than any of the other best picture nominees ($170 million and counting). 就像多數過去的奧斯卡最佳影片獎得主，林肯傳獲得了較多的奧斯卡提名(12)並且比其他任一個最佳影片提名者有更好的北美票房(1.7億鎂且還在累積中)。 And, finally, the second round of Oscar voting doesn't even begin for the better part of a week and will then extend until 5 p.m. PT on Feb. 19, more than two weeks from now. That leaves a lot of time for voters to tire of Argo and/or for one of Argo's principal players to put his or her proverbial foot in his or her mouth and turn voters off from it. For this reason, I'd expect to see a lot more of the Argo folks but hear a lot less from them over the coming weeks. 第二輪的奧斯卡投票不會開始於風向建立的這星期然後將會延續直到二月19日下午五點(美國西岸時間),距離現在超過兩個星期。這留給投票者許多時間厭倦亞果且/或讓某個亞果的主要競爭對手將他或她眾所皆知的腳放到他或她的嘴巴(使勁說服) 使得投票者從亞果轉向。因此，在即將來臨的幾周我期待看到很多亞果的支持者但聽到這些人快速流失。 But, at least as of Saturday night, it's Argo's race to lose -- and, to paraphrase Alan Arkin's character in the film, everyone else can just Argo-f---themselves. 但是，至少如同上周六夜晚，這是亞果要輸的比賽--並且，仿亞倫‧阿金在片裡的腳色的台詞，其他每個人可以說：去你的亞果。 Other important developments from Saturday night: 在上周六夜晚其他重要的發展: Searching for Sugar Man won the DGA Award for best directed documentary over fellow best documentary feature Oscar nominees How to Survive a Plague and The Invisible War; the other two Oscar nominees, the Israeli films Five Broken Cameras and The Gatekeepers, were not nominated. Having previously won the PGA Award, among others, Malik Bendjelloul's film must be regarded as the clear favorite to win the Oscar. 導演工會的最佳紀錄片導演頒給「糖果人」，勝過同樣提名奧斯卡的「如何在瘟疫中存活」與「隱形戰爭」；另外兩部奧斯卡提名片，以色列的「五個壞掉的相機」和「守門人」則未被提名。早前已經從其他影片中贏得製片人工會獎，馬利克‧班傑羅的影片勢必被視作贏得奧斯卡獎的熱門人選。 Wreck-It Ralph, one of this year's best animated feature Oscar nominees, was the big winner at the 40th Annie Awards, claiming five trophies including the two biggest: best animated feature and best director (Rich Moore). Two of its fellow Oscar nominees, Brave and ParaNorman, each claimed two other Annies, whereas the other two Oscar nominees, Frankenweenie and The Pirates! Band of Misfits, went home empty-handed. Presented by the International Animated Film Society, the Annies are not known as one of the more reliable Oscar precursors. But, with these Annie wins plus the PGA and Critics' Choice awards under its belt, it's probably fair to assume that Ralph has a slight edge over Golden Globe winner Brave and Tim Burton's critics' favorite Frankenweenie. 無敵破壞王，今年奧斯卡最佳動畫片提名之一，是第40屆安妮獎最大贏家，拿了五項獎座包括兩個最大獎：最佳動畫片和最佳導演(瑞奇‧摩爾)。兩部同時提名奧斯卡的同儕，勇敢傳說和派拉諾曼：靈動小子則各自取得兩座其他的安妮獎。然而另兩部奧斯卡提名作品科學怪犬和海賊天團則空手而歸。由國際動畫協會舉辦的安妮獎沒有如同其他信賴度高的奧斯卡風向球那樣廣為人知。但是，隨著安妮獎的獲勝加上製片人協會獎還有影評人選擇獎在他的腰帶上，假設無敵破壞王對金球獎得主勇敢傳說和影評人偏好的提姆波頓的科學怪犬有些許優勢大概還算公平。 And, at the 17th Art Directors Guild Awards, the three big winners were Anna Karenina (in the period film category) and Life of Pi (in the fantasy film category) -- both nominees for the best production design Oscar (formerly known as the best art direction Oscar) -- plus the Oscar-snubbed Skyfall (in the contemporary film category). Of the other three Oscar nominees, Les Miserables and Lincoln competed in the period film category and The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey competed in the fantasy film category. In 2006, the ADG jumped from two (period or fantasy and contemporary) to the current three categories; in seven of those 10 years, the best art direction Oscar winner won one of those prizes. Karenina previously won the best art direction Critics' Choice Award and probably is the favorite to win the best production design Oscar -- though in six of the past 10 years the Oscar winner was a best picture nominee (probably due in large part to coattails voting), which should give major hope to Life of Pi, in particular, but also perhaps Les Miserables or Lincoln. 此外，第17屆藝術指導者工會獎，三大贏家分別是安娜‧卡列尼娜(時代電影類)、少年Pi 的奇幻漂流(奇幻電影類)--這兩部同時提名奧斯卡最佳場景設計(先前廣為人知的奧斯卡最佳藝術指導)--加上奧斯卡冷落的007空降危機(現代電影類)。其他三個奧斯卡提名者，悲慘世界和林肯傳在時代類影片競逐而哈比人：意外旅程則是在奇幻電影類。在2006，工會獎從兩類(時代或奇幻與現代)跳到現在的三類別。在過去10年中的7年，奧斯卡最佳藝術指導獎贏得工會獎的其中一項。安娜卡列尼娜早先贏得影評人選擇獎的最佳藝術指導而且大概是贏得奧斯卡最佳場景設計的最熱門--雖然過去10年有6年奧斯卡得主是最佳影片提名者(可能絕大部分是是因為燕尾投票效應)，這樣尤其應該是少年Pi的奇幻漂流最有希望，但也有可能是悲慘世界或林肯傳。總結摘要： 1. 按照過去慣例，假如Argo不是導演入圍落空，應該是奧斯卡最佳導演和影片得主。 2. 最佳影片的歷史數據對Argo不利，對Lincoln有利。三部入圍資格完整的影片Lincoln, Silver Lingings Playbook, Life of Pi 還有時間去說服AMPAS投票者意向逆轉戰局。 3. 最佳導演仍然聚焦在Speilberg和李安身上。目前無法判斷誰會贏得最後競賽。 (今年五部入圍導演全部都是文藝片即使是林肯傳也很少大型軍事場景) (搞不好BAFTA也會給Ben Affleck和Argo兩大獎。Fox可能真的沒在推吧?) 4. 最佳紀錄長片大概底定了：Sugar Man。 5. 最佳動畫片部分，無敵破壞王翻身成功，拿下動畫界安妮獎兩項最大獎。 (Richard Parker也成功拿下一獎，對於視覺效果獎的競逐有加分作用) 6. 最佳場景設計熱門是安娜卡列尼娜。但因為投票的伴隨效應，少年Pi的奇幻漂流很有希望拿到該獎。林肯也有可能拿到。 7. 目前Pi最可能拿到的有攝影、視覺效果、場景設計，和視效高相關的音效剪輯，混音機會也很大，配樂應該沒有工會獎，金球獎得獎影響不小，否則要看BAFTA得主。總共六項技術獎有機會，導演獎還在混沌狀態，改編劇本獎要等WGA，影片獎就隨緣了。 -- 我寧願遊蕩在你身邊做七天的野鬼......跟隨你就算落進最黑暗的地方我的愛也不會讓我成為永遠的孤魂...... -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.66.129.114 ※ 編輯: wentasu 來自: 140.112.79.12 (02/05 11:14)