[外電]哈利波特6可望擊敗其他新片

看板Theater (電影院 - 戲院)作者 (笑容後的我其實並不快樂)時間16年前 (2009/07/24 11:37), 編輯推噓9(9036)
留言45則, 9人參與, 最新討論串1/1
http://tinyurl.com/muf82o Box office preview:"Harry Potter" likely to hold off newcomers 哈利波特6可望擊敗其他新片 by Nicole Sperling Categories: Box Office, Movie Biz It’s going to take more than super-charged guinea pigs, a Katherine Heigl rom-com, or a freaky orphan to knock Harry Potter from its perch atop the box office. While G-Force, The Ugly Truth, and The Orphan will make a valiant effort trying, Harry Potter’s spell is just too strong. Check out my predictions below. 本周哈利波特票房冠軍寶座的挑戰者包括數量驚人的天竺鼠、金髮美女 凱薩林海格的愛情喜劇,以及一位精神異常的孤兒。然而這些影片再怎麼 嘗試,還是無法抵擋小哈利超強的咒語(也有魅力的意思),以下是本週 的詳細預測 1. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: $31 million 2007’s Harry Potter and Order of the Phoenix fell 58 percent its second weekend after opening to $77 million its opening frame. This Potter should fall in the same range — and perhaps even steeper — considering it’s already grossed $177 million in just seven days of release. 1.哈利波特:混血王子的背叛-3千1百萬美金 前年哈5在首周末賺了7千萬的票房之後,隔週就下跌了將近6成。這次哈6也會 面臨同樣的命運,甚至跌的更多,因為H-BP已經在第一周已經累積1.77億的 票房了 2. G-Force: $25 million Yes, it’s 3-D. Yes, it’s from uber-producer Jerry Bruckheimer. But it’s about guinea pigs, for goodness sake, which automatically limits the audience to the Beverly Hills Chihuahua-viewing set, even if they are trained by the government. Chihuahua opened last February to $29 million. I don’t expect as much from this one, even if it is in 3-D and opening in over 3,200 theaters. 2.鼠膽妙算-2千5百萬美金 是的,有3D設備;是的,有超級製片傑瑞布魯克海墨;但是因為這是有關 天竺鼠的電影,所以觀眾群將會限制在喜歡「比佛利拜金狗」的觀眾上。 我不指望鼠片能超越「比」片去年2千9百萬的成績,即使本片有3D設備與 超過3千2百家的戲院 3. The Ugly Truth: $19 million Sandra Bullock’s The Proposal opened earlier this summer to $33.6 million, but that featured a PG-13 rating and a hot Ryan Reynolds. The Ugly Truth’s R-rating will significantly limit its playability, not to mention a rather formulaic concept of the beautiful single woman played by Katherine Heigl, always looking for the wrong man. Didn’t Men are from Mars, Women are from Venus come out like a decade ago? Add in the scathing early reviews and there is no way this movie is opening in the range of The Proposal. 3.男女生了沒-1千9百萬美金 上個月,珊卓布拉克的「愛情限時簽」的首映票房高達3千萬,但那是因為 有比較寬鬆的PG13分級與當紅炸子雞萊恩雷諾。被列為R級絕對會嚴重影響 本片的作戰能力,更不用說凱薩林海格飾演的美麗單身女子總是找不到 Mr. Right的公式化劇情了,不信的話你可以去翻一遍十年前的暢銷書 「男人來自金星,女人來自火星」。再加上目前相當苛刻的初步影評 (濫番茄27篇影評只有7%的滿意度),本片確定不可能達到「愛」片先前 的成就 4. Orphan: $14 million The second R-rated film to bow this weekend, Orphan stars Vera Fermiga as the unwitting mother who adopts an evil child. Billboards are everywhere, but that doesn’t necessarily translate into box office grosses. What Orphan does have on its side is its the first horror movie to bow since Sam Raimi’s Drag Me to Hell opened in May. 4.孤兒怨-1千4百萬美金 描述維拉佛明嘉飾演的不聰明媽媽領養邪惡小孩的「孤兒怨」,是本周 第二部新上檔的R級電影。本片的廣告相當醒目,但那並不表示高曝光可以 轉化為高票房。不過孤片還是有一個優勢:這將是山姆雷米5月上映的 「地獄魔咒」之後,第一部大規模上映的恐怖驚悚片 5. Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs: $10.5 million Ice Age is likely to suffer most from the entry of G-Force in the marketplace. But the 3-D toon pic has already grossed close to $160 million, putting it on track to best the original Ice Age’s gross of $170 million and likely to near Ice Age: The Meltdown’s $195 million take. 5.冰原歷險記:恐龍現身-1050萬美金 IA3有可能是鼠膽妙算進入電影院之後的最大受害者,不過這部有新技術的 3D動畫片目前已經有1.6億的票房,肯定會超越首集的1.7億,甚至有機會 挑戰IA2的1.95億 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.217.197.13

07/24 12:49, , 1F
所以是變形金鋼急速降溫的意思嗎?
07/24 12:49, 1F

07/24 13:16, , 2F
變形金剛2有望問鼎四億,其他片還望塵莫及喔
07/24 13:16, 2F

07/24 14:10, , 3F
希望哈利波特跌幅在55%以內,昨天去看比想像中好看太多了
07/24 14:10, 3F

07/24 14:12, , 4F
兩部新片都是R級,票房會受限制,天竺鼠威脅比較大 XD
07/24 14:12, 4F

07/24 14:13, , 5F
變形金剛2到7/28都還有IMAX加持,可否破四億,關鍵就在IMAX
07/24 14:13, 5F

07/24 15:47, , 6F
天竺鼠很可愛啊~~比狗狗可愛多了...
07/24 15:47, 6F

07/24 16:03, , 7F
HP第二週跌那麼慘~會不會有人的想法是都等到第二週了~再等
07/24 16:03, 7F

07/24 16:04, , 8F
幾天換IMAX看~
07/24 16:04, 8F

07/24 20:59, , 9F
其實是哈利波特"慘跌"的意思XD
07/24 20:59, 9F

07/24 21:01, , 10F
整體而言對票房的貢獻仍屬有限 比例應該還不到一成(?
07/24 21:01, 10F

07/24 21:01, , 11F
不要太高估IMAX的票房 雖然Digital IMAX增加不少 但
07/24 21:01, 11F

07/24 21:01, , 12F
整體而言對票房的貢獻仍屬有限 比例應該還不到一成(?
07/24 21:01, 12F

07/24 22:26, , 13F
哈利波特5第二週大跌57%以上,結果總票房依然逼近三億!
07/24 22:26, 13F

07/24 22:27, , 14F
這一集就算第二週大跌60%以上,依然有機會破三億!
07/24 22:27, 14F

07/24 23:57, , 15F
TF2第二週慘跌60%以上,依然很可能破四億! XD
07/24 23:57, 15F

07/25 00:00, , 16F
07/25 00:00, 16F

07/25 00:00, , 17F
07/25 00:00, 17F

07/25 00:02, , 18F
事實上 變形金剛2的續航力和變形金剛1大致持平
07/25 00:02, 18F

07/25 00:05, , 19F
而哈利波特6的後勁已反輸給哈利波特6 但因為有人好惡
07/25 00:05, 19F

07/25 00:05, , 20F
異常分明XD 所以變形金剛是慘跌 哈利波特卻是恭喜~
07/25 00:05, 20F

07/25 00:06, , 21F
*更正:反輸給哈利波特5
07/25 00:06, 21F

07/25 07:00, , 22F
HP6跟HP5也差不多持平
07/25 07:00, 22F

07/25 07:31, , 23F
TF1跟TF2第二週跌幅差這麼多,要說是持平,恐怕沒人信服^_^
07/25 07:31, 23F

07/25 07:34, , 24F
IMAX的票房就算只佔一成,也是左右票房的關鍵!別低估IMAX
07/25 07:34, 24F

07/25 07:40, , 25F
TF2的IMAX票房就很高,接下來就期待哈利波特6囉 ^_^
07/25 07:40, 25F

07/25 07:48, , 26F
ps:我可沒有"恭喜"哈利波特大跌 別亂扣帽子 純粹用數據
07/25 07:48, 26F

07/25 10:30, , 27F
TF2: $371,089,745 / $200,077,255 = 1.855
07/25 10:30, 27F

07/25 10:31, , 28F
TF1: $290,357,856 / $155,405,412 = 1.869
07/25 10:31, 28F

07/25 10:32, , 29F
兩者上映頭五日和上映三十日累積票房的multiplier供參。
07/25 10:32, 29F

07/25 10:35, , 30F
longevity並不是光看第二週週末跌幅而已,咳咳...
07/25 10:35, 30F

07/25 12:51, , 31F
變2慘跌,哈6有望破三億,恭喜
07/25 12:51, 31F

07/25 12:51, , 32F
變2有望破四億,恭喜,哈6慘跌
07/25 12:51, 32F

07/25 12:52, , 33F
報票房可以客觀一點,要加心得可以另外發表一篇
07/25 12:52, 33F

07/25 12:54, , 34F
變2有望擠進北美史上前十,就票房而言還能怎麼挑剔?
07/25 12:54, 34F

07/25 12:57, , 35F
肯定
07/25 12:57, 35F

07/26 14:54, , 36F
s大大肯定是沒認真看我貼的那兩張表格吧,TF2首週末
07/26 14:54, 36F

07/26 14:54, , 37F
較TF1進步甚多外,一個月來幾乎每一日都贏過TF1,再
07/26 14:54, 37F

07/26 14:55, , 38F
差跌幅慘? 真正慘跌的是被你恭喜的HP6,次週三較首
07/26 14:55, 38F

07/26 14:55, , 39F
輔以Ozzilla提供的乘數數據,你還能嘴硬說TF2的後勁
07/26 14:55, 39F

07/26 14:55, , 40F
差跌幅慘? 真正慘跌的是被你恭喜的HP6,次週三較首
07/26 14:55, 40F

07/26 14:56, , 41F
週三"崩跌"87.1%(TF2算慘跌 那HP6用崩跌是剛好而已)
07/26 14:56, 41F

07/26 14:56, , 42F
從次週三開始每天票房都輸給HP5,以後要舉跌勢兇後勁
07/26 14:56, 42F

07/26 14:56, , 43F
差的片,"恭喜"!除了蛛蛛人3外,又多了部哈利波特6
07/26 14:56, 43F

07/27 15:40, , 44F
好無聊的爭吵,反正HP系列本來就不依賴北美票房。而且
07/27 15:40, 44F

07/27 15:42, , 45F
以HP系列而論,更是好成績。
07/27 15:42, 45F
文章代碼(AID): #1AQInuT4 (Theater)
文章代碼(AID): #1AQInuT4 (Theater)