[外電] 艾莉絲會來到票房仙境嗎?

看板Theater (電影院 - 戲院)作者 (笑容後的我其實並不快樂)時間16年前 (2010/03/05 15:36), 編輯推噓14(14025)
留言39則, 9人參與, 7年前最新討論串1/1
http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/ 2010/03/04/box-office-preview-will-alice-be-a-wonderland/ Box office preview: Will 'Alice' be a Wonderland? by Nicole Sperling Categories: Box Office While all of Hollywood is in a tizzy over the upcoming Oscar weekend, most moviegoers are far more interested in following Alice–and Johnny Depp’s Mad Hatter–down the rabbit hole. Tim Burton’s adaptation of Lewis Carroll’s classic Alice in Wonderland is the first movie to bow in 3-D since Avatar changed the rules of the game. And while Burton’s film has already been criticized for its 2-D to 3-D conversion compared to Avatar’s advanced technological efforts, it’s still set to dominate the weekend in a big way. Almost every other studio has left Burton and Depp alone this frame for what is sure to be the duo’s most successful opening weekend ever. The only other new wide release this weekend is Overture’s 2009 Sundance film Brooklyn’s Finest, which is bowing in more than 1900 theaters. Here’s how we predict these films will fare: 雖然好萊塢正在歡喜迎接週末的奧斯卡獎,但影迷們恐怕對於 掉入兔洞的艾莉絲與強尼戴普飾演的瘋狂帽客更有興趣 提姆波頓根據路易士卡洛爾暢銷經典改編的"魔境夢遊" 將會是阿凡達改變遊戲規則之後,好萊塢第一部3D電影 儘管魔片最近被批評他的2-D to 3-D轉換技術跟阿凡達相比,是LP比雞腿 但毫無疑問地,魔片仍將稱霸本週的票房榜 其他片場可說是讓波頓與強哥毫無敵手地創下他們最高首周票房紀錄 唯一另一部正面交鋒的,則是Overture於去年日舞影展買進的"惡夜特警隊" 而惡片也至少會有1千9百家戲院上映 1. Alice in Wonderland: $71 million Disney pulled out all the stops with its beautiful, eye-catching campaign for Burton’s interpretation of Carroll’s world. Too bad the reviews of the film haven’t been as pleasant. It’s unlikely those reviews will hurt the film’s opening weekend, but if audiences agree, it could lead to a severe drop off for the film’s second week. Also working in the movie’s b.o. favor is its 3-D release. Burton and Depp’s last pairing was 2005’s Charlie and the Chocolate Factory. That movie bowed to $56.2 million in the middle of summer, and this film is likely to outgross it. More expensive 3-D tickets, plus the absence of other kid-friendly films in market could put the PG-rated release into record-breaking territory. Look for it to beat Warner Bros.’s March record-holder, the 2007 $70 million debut of 300. 1.魔境夢遊:7千1百萬美金 迪士尼最近在各大路口擺置了本片漂亮又吸引人的宣傳廣告 可惜影評的成績並沒有一樣亮眼,不過這些影評都無法傷害她的首映成績 但如果觀眾同意的話,魔片的第二週恐怕會有大量的跌幅 波頓與強哥5年前暑假中段推出的"巧克力冒險工廠"曾經開出5620萬 今年魔片可望靠著更貴的3D版票價、市場上缺乏針對兒童的電影 打破華納兄弟三年前"三百壯士"的三月首映紀錄 PS:作者誤以為巧克力是強/提兩人上一次合作,這也讓她受到不少網友批評 2. Shutter Island: $11 million The other daring duo of director/actor pairings, Martin Scorsese and Leonardo DiCaprio, has fared quite well in theaters over the past two weeks. The R-rated thriller has already grossed $81 million and is on track to earn another $11 million over the weekend. That’s pretty great for a film that got booted out of its original release date last fall. 2.隔離島:1千1百萬美金 另一對影壇大膽的導/演組合:史柯西斯與李奧納多,在這兩周可說是自我感覺良好 這部已經進帳超過8千萬的限制級驚悚片,本週可望多賺進1千萬 對於這部曾經在去年秋天面臨撤檔命運的電影來說,更是相當好的成績 3. Brooklyn’s Finest: $10 million There’s a solid cast to this hard-boiled drama about corrupt police offices. Between Richard Gere, Ethan Hawke and Wesley Snipes it’s not a bad ensemble. But this film from director Antoine Fuqua (Training Day) has been sitting on a shelf for more than a year. The studio spent a good portion of the time redoing the ending that originally screened at Sundance. How it fares this weekend is a real wild card. Shutter Island is attracting the same audience, and it’s a better movie with some legs still in it. I’ll guess a $10 million debut, but this one could get lost in the mix. 3.惡夜特警隊:1千萬美金 這部描述警察貪污的剛硬派劇情片卡斯頗為堅強 有理查吉爾、伊森霍克與衛斯利史奈普的組合看起來並不差 但這部震撼教育導演的新片卻曾經被片商冷凍至少一年 當惡片在日舞影展首映之後,片商又花了一段時間重拍結局 本片的命運很難預測,因為她的觀眾群跟隔離島相同,而後者又有更好的賣座走勢 我認為她有週末破千萬的潛力,但在一片混亂的影評中,她恐怕也會失敗 4. Cop Out: $9 million It’ s the only comedy in theaters, so Cop Out could luck out and only drop 50% its second weekend in theaters. That would be good news for the Kevin Smith film starring Tracy Morgan and Bruce Willis, which bowed last frame to dismal reviews and only $18 million in box office receipts. If no one is willing to give the movie a second chance, the R-rated horror film The Crazies could wind up filling this slot. 4.波麗士很忙:9百萬美金 波片是戲院上唯一的喜劇,所以本片幸運的話跌幅可以控制在5成 這對於布魯斯威利評價悽慘,首映不到兩千萬的新片是個好消息 假如沒有人要給這部電影第二次機會的話,限制級恐怖片"屍心瘋"可望遞補這個位置 5. Avatar: $7.5 million This is the weekend Avatar will see its first real drop in 12 weeks of release. Twentieth Century Fox is amazed they were able to hold on to the 695 3-D screens that will still show their spectacle. Too bad they will still be hurt by IMAX converting its theaters over to Alice in Wonderland. Nonetheless, no one is crying for James Cameron. The guy has racked up over $700 million in domestic grosses and could very well walk away with the Best Picture Oscar this Sunday. 5.阿凡達:750萬美金 本週將會是阿凡達上映12週以來,第一次真正有大跌幅 福斯公司對於他們仍能保留695個3D放映廳感到驚奇 可惜的是,他們仍然會被Imax加持的魔境夢遊打得落花流水 儘管如此,沒有人會為詹姆士柯麥隆哭泣 因為老柯光是在美國就已經賺進7億的票房,而且很有機會在星期天的奧斯卡 上台領取最佳影片獎 -- NY   NY LA CR ρ m  鳥  口-口 口-口 口-口 口-口 口-口 口-口 口-口 口-口 口-口 U U U U U U U U U 蘇光   蘇維拉 寶貝蘇 蘇-Rod 蘇朗斯頓 蘇區特 蘇吉 蘇夫曼 蘇蘭克林 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.230.48.40

03/05 15:58, , 1F
阿凡達廳數:2456->695,減了73%,且失去IMAX等大廳
03/05 15:58, 1F

03/05 15:59, , 2F
預測750萬將只有45%的跌幅,感覺上有點太樂觀
03/05 15:59, 2F

03/05 16:01, , 3F
爛番茄影評:魔鏡夢遊57%,阿凡達82%,相差頗大
03/05 16:01, 3F

03/05 16:04, , 4F
阿凡達最近每日票房又重回第二名,真的是韌性堅強啊 XD
03/05 16:04, 4F

03/05 16:04, , 5F
實際上阿片仍有2163個戲院放映 只是3D廳減少而已
03/05 16:04, 5F

03/05 16:06, , 6F
喔喔,如果是這樣,那還滿合理的,但現在誰會去看2D啊XD
03/05 16:06, 6F

03/05 16:08, , 7F
其實北美的觀眾也沒像台灣那麼極端都只挑3D的看就是了
03/05 16:08, 7F

03/05 17:01, , 8F
世界那麼大,以己窺眾最後只會發現真的是一樣米養千百萬種人~
03/05 17:01, 8F

03/05 17:06, , 9F
我都還沒看過2D版的阿凡達,如果改成2D,我會再去看!XD
03/05 17:06, 9F

03/05 17:24, , 10F
2D的阿凡達會有許多細節是看3D時沒注意的,這是朋友說的~
03/05 17:24, 10F

03/05 17:25, , 11F
等出DVD時,買回來慢慢研究,看看發光森林裡面有沒有特別的
03/05 17:25, 11F

03/05 17:34, , 12F
這篇文章很有可能低估了魔境夢遊的首周成績...
03/05 17:34, 12F

03/05 17:36, , 13F
還蠻多人預估8000萬~~1億左右的成績...
03/05 17:36, 13F

03/05 17:37, , 14F
http://tinyurl.com/ygz7yms 3728家戲院,比阿凡達當初
03/05 17:37, 14F

03/05 17:37, , 15F
首映時還多開二百多家....
03/05 17:37, 15F

03/05 18:06, , 16F
按照3月[300壯士]的首周觀影人數紀錄去估計 有機會破億
03/05 18:06, 16F

03/06 00:08, , 17F
票房這回事,尤其是新片上映兩週內,評價的影響在美國真的
03/06 00:08, 17F

03/06 00:09, , 18F
沒有大家想得那麼大,許多人只是抱著娛樂的心態看電影的。
03/06 00:09, 18F

03/06 00:10, , 19F
即便像是"阿凡達"這種等級的片,許多人也只是持著感官娛樂
03/06 00:10, 19F

03/06 00:10, , 20F
的心態進影城和戲院。更別說它又是最多人第一部的3D電影所
03/06 00:10, 20F

03/06 00:11, , 21F
評價影響其實還是有,比如新月就是去年最好的例子。但
03/06 00:11, 21F

03/06 00:12, , 22F
帶來的加乘效果了。抱定衝首映週的觀眾更不容易被評價影響
03/06 00:12, 22F

03/06 00:12, , 23F
首周的觀眾通常都是不顧評價,先衝再說。
03/06 00:12, 23F

03/06 00:12, , 24F
口碑在第二周才會比較明顯的發揮作用
03/06 00:12, 24F

03/06 00:13, , 25F
變數是,奧斯卡在星期日晚上,多少會影響票房
03/06 00:13, 25F

03/06 00:15, , 26F
但星期天晚上原本就不是電影的主要市場時間
03/06 00:15, 26F

03/06 00:16, , 27F
不過回到這一篇Nicole預測7100萬,我倒覺得她沒有低沽
03/06 00:16, 27F

03/06 00:18, , 28F
奧斯卡從晚上七點到午夜吧,還是會影響票房
03/06 00:18, 28F

03/06 00:25, , 29F
另外,奧斯卡轉播也不見得都是看電影的人口必看的一件事
03/06 00:25, 29F

03/07 13:04, , 30F
艾莉絲第一天就4100萬了耶
03/07 13:04, 30F

03/07 14:18, , 31F
wow,首日估計值誤差不大的話,的確會創下三月首部開週破億
03/07 14:18, 31F

03/07 16:37, , 32F
另一個關注話題: "新月"的2天破億是否被破?
03/07 16:37, 32F

03/07 16:38, , 33F
以及"魔境夢遊"是不是另一部首映週佔50%票房的頭大尾小片?
03/07 16:38, 33F

03/07 16:39, , 34F
更正上上句,是"新月"2天破億是否會被追平?
03/07 16:39, 34F

03/07 17:15, , 35F
不會破新月首周,也不會破2天破億紀錄。這部有阿凡達的
03/07 17:15, 35F

03/07 17:16, , 36F
3D效應領著,又有明星卡司+提姆波頓,首周開高是正常的
03/07 17:16, 36F

03/07 17:16, , 37F
。不知道次周能不能穩住跌幅?
03/07 17:16, 37F

03/07 17:57, , 38F
目前首週至少破1億1是勢在必得了,第2週跌50%以上也會發生
03/07 17:57, 38F

01/10 20:07, 7年前 , 39F
按照3月[300壯士] https://daxiv.com
01/10 20:07, 39F
文章代碼(AID): #1BaBIGfa (Theater)
文章代碼(AID): #1BaBIGfa (Theater)